The Economy and the Election

By
Jeff Motske, CFP®
October 29, 2020
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Today, conversations, screens, and ads on how the upcoming election will affect our economy and the American way of life are unavoidable. Naturally, we start to ponder how the outcome might impact our own financial independence. Since market forecasters and economic commentators ever really get it right only part of the time, formulating investment strategy based on “expert” prognostications and financial journalism routinely sets individual investors up for failure.

According to historical analysis, in 19 of the past 23 election years from 1928-2016, stock market returns were positive, no matter which party held office. In fact, during an election year, the S&P 500 has experienced an average return of 11.3%—data that demonstrably counters the stock market doom and gloom headline hysteria generated in the media.

While it is crucial not to be emotionally reactive, it is equally important to plan for economic changes that are realistically possible. Following an election, it is wise to assess how federal policies could impact your plan.

A few takeaways…

  1. Separate your personal politics from your investment decision-making.
  2. Remain calm and focused on your long-term plan: thoughtful planning plus sound decision-making matters.

During his First Inaugural Address, our 32nd President reminded the nation that “the only thing we have to fear is fear itself.” If not kept in check, fear becomes a catalyst for rash decision-making which can impede your path to financial freedom. As always, I am here to talk things through with you, to listen, and to assuage your fear; that’s my job.

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By Trilogy Financial
May 22, 2023

As the cost of living rises, households worldwide feel the squeeze. Inflation impacts everything from groceries to housing to healthcare, and families struggle to make ends meet as they stretch their budgets to the limit.

Recent statistics show the inflation rate in the United States has risen to its highest level in over four decades. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has increased by 7% over the past year alone. Inflation is a persistent increase in the prices of goods and services over time, leading to a decline in purchasing power of money. It affects the economy in many ways, including households, as it erodes their buying power, making it difficult to afford basic necessities.

A couple seeking help from a financial advisor.
A mature diverse couple shakes hands with a financial advisor.

How Is Inflation Impacting Households Today?

Inflation is affecting families significantly, with prices of goods and services rising rapidly. One area where inflation has a noticeable impact is the cost of groceries. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, food prices have increased by 6% in the past year.

Inflation is also impacting the cost of housing. According to the National Association of Home Builders, lumber has increased by more than 167% since April 2020, making building, renting or renovating homes much more expensive.

Other areas where inflation impacts households include transportation, healthcare and energy costs. With gas prices rising, transportation costs are increasing making it more expensive for families to commute to work or travel.

Healthcare costs are also rising, with medical services and prescription drugs becoming more expensive daily. Additionally, the cost of energy, including electricity and natural gas, is increasing impacting household budgets.

 

How We Got Here and Why?

The United States has experienced an increase in inflation in recent years, fueled by a combination of factors, including:

Supply  chain disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic caused disruptions in supply chains, leading to shortages of goods and raw materials and higher consumer prices.

Government stimulus: The US government has implemented several rounds of stimulus packages in response to the pandemic, flooding the economy with cash and contributing to inflation.

Labor shortages: The pandemic also caused labor shortages in many industries, which has led to increased wages for workers and higher prices for consumers.

Rising energy costs: The cost of energy has increased, with higher prices for gasoline and other commodities, which has increased the cost of goods and services.

Monetary policy: The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low to stimulate economic growth, contributing to inflation by making it cheaper for consumers and businesses to borrow money.

These factors have all contributed to the current state of inflation in the US. However, inflation is complex and multifaceted; many other factors are also at play.

7 Tips to Help Navigate Inflation

Inflation can be a challenging economic environment for households to navigate. Here are tips from our team of advisors at Trilogy Financial that can help you manage inflationary pressures.

1. Calculate Your Inflation Rate

This measure provides a more accurate reflection of the inflation you are experiencing compared to the general inflation rate reported in the media.

A financial advisor can help calculate your personal inflation rate by analyzing your spending habits and identifying the goods and services that make up your personal consumption basket. This process can involve reviewing bank and credit card statements, examining household bills, and discussing significant lifestyle or spending habits changes to help you track the prices of these items over time and calculate your inflation rate.

2. Create a Cash Management Strategy

A cash management strategy will allow you to preserve your purchasing power and financial stability. A financial advisor can help you create a strategy that aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance by:

  • Assessing your current financial situation,
  • Identifying your short-term and long-term cash needs, and
  • Recommending appropriate investments that balance liquidity, yield, and risk.

The strategy can involve diversifying cash holdings across different asset classes, using inflation-indexed bonds or money market funds, and considering alternative investments that offer potential inflation protection.

3. Discuss When and How to Use TIPS to Protect Against Inflation

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are a type of U.S. government bond indexed to inflation. As inflation rises, the principal and interest payments of TIPS adjust accordingly, providing investors with a hedge against inflation. A financial advisor may recommend TIPS if you want to protect your portfolio against inflationary pressures or maintain your purchasing power over the long term. It could involve assessing your risk tolerance and investment objectives and recommending an appropriate allocation to TIPS within a diversified portfolio.

4. Discuss Alternative ‘Inflation-Hedging' Assets

In addition to TIPS, assets such as commodities, real estate and stocks of companies with pricing power can provide inflation protection. A financial advisor can help you choose the right assets for your portfolio by assessing your investment objectives, risk tolerance and time horizon. As a result, they can recommend an appropriate allocation to inflation-hedging assets that balance return and risk, like commodity funds, real estate investment trusts (REITs) or sector ETFs offering exposure to companies with pricing power.

5. Strategize for How to Avoid ‘Tax Bracket Creep' as Income Rises

Tax bracket creep pushes an individual's income into a higher tax bracket, resulting in a higher tax bill. This move can erode the purchasing power of your income and reduce your savings.

A financial advisor can help you strategize on how to avoid tax bracket creep by considering tax-efficient investment vehicles, such as Roth IRAs, tax-loss harvesting and charitable donations.

6. Review Homeowners and Other Insurance Solutions to Avoid Under Coverage

As the value of assets, goods and services increase due to inflation, the cost of replacing them also rises. A financial advisor can help you review your insurance coverage and ensure they have inflation protection from risks.

Advisors can also educate you on the different types of insurance available and their benefits, such as umbrella insurance, which can provide additional liability coverage in case of a significant lawsuit or accident.

7. Reassess Long-Term Inflation Assumptions for Retirement Projections

Inflation can significantly impact retirement savings and planning because it reduces the purchasing power of money over time. Individuals will need to save more to maintain their living standards in retirement.

A financial advisor can help you reassess your long-term inflation assumptions for retirement projections by analyzing your current savings and investment strategies, projecting future inflation rates, and identifying potential gaps in your retirement plans.

From Us to You: Control Your Financial Future

As inflation continues to affect households, you should take control of your financial situation and work with a financial advisor to develop a plan aligning with your goals, risk tolerance and personal situation.

Trilogy Financial is a financial advisory firm dedicated to helping clients navigate the complex world of personal finance. We offer comprehensive services, including financial planning, investment management, and retirement planning.

If you are concerned about the impact of inflation on your finances, contact us today to schedule a consultation with one of our experienced advisors. We are here to help you take control of your financial situation and navigate through the challenges of inflation.

Female financial advisor meeting with clients.
Female financial advisor meeting and discussing expert inflation protection tips with clients.

 

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The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual 2. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.

By Trilogy Financial
July 18, 2024

Are you aware of the common pitfalls that can erode your wealth and how to prevent them?

In the pursuit of financial independence, it’s not just about building wealth but also about protecting it from erosion. At Trilogy Financial, we understand the critical importance of mitigating wealth erosion to ensure long-term financial stability. Here are ten strategies to help you with asset preservation wealth & tax and achieve your financial goals.

 

1. Taxes

 

Taxes are a significant expense for everyone, but High-Net-Worth Tax Strategies can help manage and reduce their impact on your wealth. Consider maximizing contributions to retirement accounts like IRAs and 401(k)s for tax advantages, and explore health savings accounts (HSAs) for additional tax benefits.

 

Key Tax Strategies:

 

  • Maximize contributions to tax-advantaged retirement accounts.
  • Utilize HSAs for medical expenses.
  • Consult a tax advisor for personalized tax-saving strategies.

 

2. Credit Cards

 

High-interest credit card debt can quickly erode your wealth. Implementing a strategic approach to managing credit card debt can help reduce the financial burden and improve your net worth. One effective strategy for managing credit card debt is to use the debt avalanche or snowball methods.

 

Credit Card Management Strategies:

 

  • Use the debt avalanche or snowball methods to pay down high-interest debt.
  • Consider consolidating debt with a lower-interest personal loan or balance transfer credit card.
  • Create a disciplined budgeting plan to avoid accumulating new debt.

 

3. Depreciation

 

Assets like cars and electronics lose value over time, impacting your wealth. Adopting a ‘buy and hold’ approach and making strategic purchasing decisions can help mitigate the effects of depreciation.

 

Combating Depreciation:

 

  • Keep vehicles for longer periods.
  • Buy slightly used cars to avoid initial depreciation.
  • Invest in assets that appreciate or depreciate less over time, such as real estate or classic cars.

 

4. Market Cyclicality

 

Market volatility can cause anxiety, but a diversified investment strategy can help manage the risks associated with market fluctuations.

 

Navigating Market Cyclicality:

 

  • Diversify your investments across different asset classes and geographies.
  • *Implement dollar-cost averaging to manage investment costs.
  • Consult with a financial advisor to tailor a diversified portfolio.

 

*Dollar cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities regardless of fluctuation in price levels of such securities. An investor should consider their ability to continue purchasing through fluctuating price levels. Such a plan does not assure a profit and does not protect against loss in declining markets. (67-LPL)

 

5. Lack of Diversification

 

Putting all your investments in one basket increases risk. Diversifying your portfolio across various asset classes and sectors can reduce volatility and potential losses.

 

Diversification Strategies:

 

  • Invest in a mix of equities, fixed income, and alternatives.
  • Use broad market instruments like ETFs or mutual funds.
  • Regularly review and rebalance your portfolio with a financial advisor.

 

6. Unexpected Expenses

 

Unexpected expenses can disrupt your financial plans. Establishing an emergency fund is crucial to cover unforeseen costs without resorting to high-interest debt.

 

Preparing for Unexpected Expenses:

 

  • Build an emergency fund covering 3-6 months’ worth of expenses.
  • Automate savings to ensure consistent contributions to your emergency fund.
  • Adjust your budget to prioritize saving for emergencies.

 

7. Misaligned Investments

 

Investing without a clear plan can lead to poor financial outcomes. Aligning your investments with your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon is essential.

 

Aligning Investments:

 

  • Define clear investment goals and time horizons.
  • Educate yourself about different investment types.
  • Seek personalized advice from a financial advisor to create Custom Investment Strategies.

 

8. Procrastination

 

Procrastination can significantly impact your wealth-building efforts. Starting early and setting achievable goals can make a big difference in your financial future.

 

Overcoming Procrastination:

 

  • Set short-term and long-term financial goals.
  • Use financial tools and apps to automate savings and investments.
  • Consult a financial advisor to create a tailored financial plan.

 

9. Lack of Planning

 

A comprehensive financial plan is the foundation of successful wealth management. An advantage of effective personal financial planning is that it can transform uncertainty into a roadmap for success.

 

Creating a Financial Plan:

 

  • Assess your current financial situation.
  • Set realistic and specific financial goals.
  • Develop a plan that allocates resources towards achieving these goals.

 

10. Lack of Proper Protection

 

Unexpected life events can derail your financial plans. Proper insurance and estate planning can protect your wealth and provide confidence.

 

Implementing Proper Protection:

 

  • Obtain adequate life, disability, and long-term care insurance.
  • Create a will and other estate planning documents for Legacy Planning.
  • Consult with a financial planner to assess your Financial Protection Strategies.

 

Conclusion

 

Preventing wealth erosion is as important as building wealth. By addressing these common pitfalls with strategic planning and professional guidance, you can safeguard your financial future. At Trilogy Financial, we specialize in Comprehensive Wealth Management ServicesRetirement Planning for High-Net-Worth Individuals, and long term family wealth planning. Our services also include family wealth protection, risk management positions, and Custom Investment Strategies that protect and grow your wealth. Contact us today to learn how we can help you achieve your financial goals and secure a prosperous future.

 

 

Ready to Amplify Your Wealth today?

If you're ready to elevate your financial planning with our professional team, we invite you to schedule a meeting with us. At Trilogy Financial Services, our advisors in Corona are dedicated to crafting personalized financial strategies that align with your unique goals. Don't wait to start your journey towards financial success:

  • Schedule a Meeting: Reach out to us to arrange a one-on-one consultation with our financial professionals.
  • Give Us a Call: Prefer a quick conversation? Feel free to give us a call to discuss your financial needs and how we can assist. Call Us To Get Started. (844) 356-4934

Schedule a No-Strings-Attached Portfolio Review today and embark on a path to financial success guided by professional advisors. For more information and to schedule your consultation, visit www.trilogyfs.com/yourmoneyamplified. With the right knowledge and professional guidance, the journey of investing becomes an exciting venture towards achieving financial security and growth. This way, you're not just dreaming of an ideal retirement but actively working towards making it a reality.

 

*There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

Get Started on Your Financial Life Plan Today